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Crude Oil Technical Analysis and EIA Information

Raw petroleum costs at first fell in with wide based hazard craving patterns, dropping close by the bellwether S&P 500 stock list. Costs recuperated most lost ground into the finish of the day however as supposition balanced out and showcases checked out EIA information demonstrating a sensational form in gas and distillate inventories. They included a joined 10.6 million barrels a week ago, overshadowing conjectures ten times and overpowering a bigger-than-anticipated rough stockpiling addition of 5.02 million barrels.


oil price forecast 15-03-2018

Raw petroleum costs are curling up inside a Falling Wedge outline arrangement. The setup ordinarily conveys bullish implication, yet affirmation is required on every day close over the example’s upper limit at 62.11. That would at first uncover the February 26 high at 64.21. On the other hand, a dip under help in the 59.59-60.00 territory (wedge floor, March 8 low) makes ready for another trial of the February 9 base at 58.11. Source

Huge Up movement is expected at the Crude oil and Gold price

Commodity Trading Alerts and Signals

Raw petroleum discovers true help as the US Dollar dives on CPI information

Gold costs train in on January high after lift from against USD request

Items propelled higher as the US Dollar drooped after January’s US CPI information crossed the wires. Unrefined petroleum costs are designated as far as the greenback on worldwide markets, so the cash’s droop offered accepted help. A pickup in chance hunger presumably assisted a well, with the WTI benchmark ascending close by stocks. Gold rose as the move stirred interest in hostile to fiat choices.

Looking forward, US PPI information adds up to the main piece of vital planned occasion hazard on the docket. The center discount expansion rate is relied upon to tick down from 2.3 to 2.1 percent. Anything shy of an emotional upside astounds reverberating a month ago’ surge in wage development appears to probably bolster continuation of the present account, however force may moderate after yesterday’s hazardous moves.


Gold costs surged higher to challenge the 38.2% Fibonacci extension at 1356.23. Every day close over this boundary makes ready for a trial of the 1366.06-71.50 zone (January 25 high, half level). The primary huge drawback obstruction stays in the 1312.36-16.50 zone (38.2% Fib retracement, bolster rack).


Raw petroleum costs are endeavoring to mount a recuperation. Every day close over the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 60.84 opens the entryway for a retest of the 14.6% level at 63.05. Then again, a turn bring down that ruptures the 38.2% Fib at 57.25 focuses on the half retracement at 54.36. Source

Crude Oil may fall due to USA Government Shutdown Rumours

Crude Oil Trading Alerts:

Crude Oil costs decrease close to values as market estimation sours

Gold costs edge up as Treasury security yields decrease in hazard off-exchange

Raw petroleum costs fell as hazard craving decayed once more on Wall Street. The WTI benchmark took after the S&P 500 lower in a move that the newswires connected to proceeded with stresses over forceful money related fixing. The sharp bounce in wage expansion announced in January’s US work insights has stirred feelings of dread of a more extreme rate climb cycle than already anticipated. Gold costs bounced back from intraday lows as the hazard of temperament converted into a drop in security yields, boosting the interest of non-enthusiasm bearing choices.

Looking forward, a dull offering on the financial logbook appear to be probably not going to establish a connection with speculators. Bread cook Hughes fix to consider information, as well as ICE and CFTC theoretical situating measurements, are on tap, yet these are infrequently showcased moving. The possibility of another US government shutdown may overwhelm the spotlight. A preservationist unforeseen inside the Republican party is deferring section of a bipartisan spending bargain, saying it adds excessively to the deficiency. The nonappearance of a fast accord may compound hazard avoidance.

Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Raw petroleum costs keep on pushing lower, with a break underneath the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 60.84 preparing for a test of the 38.2% level at 57.25. On the other hand, an inversion back over 60.84 – now recast as protection – uncovered the 14.6% Fibat 63.05 another. Source

API Inventory Data Push Crude Oil Prices Up

Crude Oil Trading Alerts 
Unrefined petroleum costs take off as API reports huge 11.2mb drop in US inventories

Gold costs pull back to run floor yet a persuading breakout still tricky

What are the powers driving long haul unrefined petroleum value patterns? Discover here

Unrefined petroleum costs surged as API detailed a monstrous drawdown of inventories, saying reserves shed 11.2 million barrels a week ago. Official EIA measurements due later today are required to demonstrate a much more humble 3.4 million barrel outpouring. In the event that the acknowledged outcome slashes nearer to the API projection, costs may discover the degree to keep fabricating upward.

Gold costs edged lower, burdened by a parallel surge in Treasury security yields and the US Dollar that undermined interest for non-enthusiasm bearing and hostile to fiat resources. The path forward is somewhat obfuscated be that as it may. A solitary impetus for yesterday’s turn was not promptly evident, making it hard to recognize scope for the finish. A clearer picture may develop after Friday’s arrival of US retail deals and CPI information.

Crude Oil TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Crude oil costs punched above protection at 62.31, the 38.2%Fibonacci development, to uncover the half level at 64.32. A further push past those objectives the 61.8% Fib at 66.33. On the other hand, a move back underneath 62.31 – now recast as help – makes ready for a retest of the 23.6% development at 59.83 as help.

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Gold costs pulled back yet remained bolted inside a now-commonplace range over the $1300/oz figure. Negative RSI disparity keeps on notice of a bigger fixing in progress. A day by day close underneath the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement as 1311.34 uncovered the half level at 1297.08. On the other hand, a push over the 76.4% Fib at 1328.98 opens the entryway for a test of the September 8 high at 1357.50.

commodity recommendations – Asian shares edged up on Monday on optimism about global growth

Asian offers edged up on Monday on idealism about worldwide development while the dollar was on edge as a curbed U.S. expansion standpoint topped U.S. security yields. – commodity recommendations 

MSCI’s broadest file of Asia-Pacific offers outside Japan ticked up 0.2 percent while Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.3 percent. Exchanging was moderate with many markets in the locale shut for occasions to commend the finish of Ramadan.

The possibility of strong worldwide monetary development has kept alive financial specialists’ confidence over world values even as a few markets, including Wall Street, have backed off from an excited keep running because of high valuations. – commodity recommendations 

Offer costs have likewise been upheld by moderately free money related approaches in the created world, with the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank as yet drawing in stores.

While the U.S. Central bank is step by step fixing its strategy, financial specialists think the pace of its fixing will be much slower than its policymakers need given quelled U.S. expansion.

Currency advertise fates cost <FFZ7> <FFF8> in just around 50 percent possibility of another rate climb before the year's over, contrasted with Fed's own particular projection of one more rate increment.

The 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield <US10YT=RR> remained at 2.144 percent, not a long way from seven-month low of 2.103 percent hit in mid-June.

The 30-year yield hit 7-1/2-month low of 2.710 percent <US30YT=RR> on Friday, making the yield bend the flattest in just about 10 years. It last remained at 2.721 percent. – commodity recommendations 

The lower yields have put the dollar on edge, however some market players say both Treasury yields and the dollar could rise if U.S. President Donald Trump figures out how to push through his human services charge in the parliament.

"There will be restored concentrate on U.S. social insurance charge. Its entry in the parliament could prompt desires that the organization will get down to jolt next," said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management.

Republican Senate pioneer Mitch McConnell has pushed for a vote on the bill before the July fourth Independence Day occasion break that starts toward the finish of this current week.

However he can stand to lose the support of just two Republicans despite consistent Democratic restriction, while five Republican representatives have said they won’t bolster the bill in its present frame. [nL1N1JM06G]

The dollar remained at 111.22 yen <JPY=>, off a week ago's high of 111.79.
The euro <EUR=> exchanged at $1.1198, gradually recuperating from its three-week low of $1.1119 addressed Tuesday.

A solid perusing in Germany’s Ifo business notion overview due at 0800 GMT could open the route for a trial of $1.1296, its seven-month high hit recently.

The euro was minimal harmed by the news that Italy started ending up two fizzled provincial bets on Sunday in an arrangement that could cost the state up to 17 billion euros ($19 billion). 

"This won't cause a noteworthy monetary emergency considering the present quality of the euro zone economy," said Yukio Ishizuki, senior strategist at Daiwa Securities.

Oil costs ticked up at an early stage Monday subsequent to having succumbed to five weeks consecutively on concerns OPEC-drove generation slices have neglected to facilitate a worldwide unrefined excess coming from expanded oil creation in the United States.

Brent rough prospects <LCOc1> rose 0.5 percent to $45.78 per barrel from seven month lows of $44.35 hit a week ago.

U.S. unrefined fates <CLc1> brought $43.22 per barrel, up 0.5 percent on the day and developing additions from their 10-month low of $42.05 set on Wednesday.

Silver trading tips for trading in April 2017

The IMF (International Monetary Fund) expects the rise in growth of Malaysian economy this year during which the drag from weak external demand wane and commodity rates improves. This could be great news for those who trade commodities especially silver using silver trading tips.

In this article, we are going to give an outlook of Malaysian commodity market along with silver trading tips.


Silver charges will, just like the country debt, consumer rates and forex in flow, increase. The inevitable long-term path of silver expenses is upward. Factors that affect this are:


Plot the professional country wide debt on a log scale every four years – presidential election years. The exponential rise is unmistakable. Doubling debt about every eight years isn’t always a triumphing method for US economic system.

Silver trading tips


Silver prices have risen exponentially for 100 years, together with debt, consumer charges and forex in flow. But to know the exact price traders can refer commodity advisor and use silver trading tips provided by them.

Silver trading tips


Plot month-to-month expenses for silver to the S&P500 Index ratio. Inside the long term each raise exponentially however the contemporary price of silver is low compared to the price of the S&P500. Observe that silver charges are off -thirds from their 2011 high whilst the S&P is at an all-time high. Assume silver rates to move better regardless of a capacity correction inside the S&P. Commodity signals are also helpful in determining ratio.

Silver trading tips


Silver costs bottomed in 2001 and have risen inconsistently since then. The log scale trend channel has increased which indicates extensive volatility, due to the fact silver charges upward thrust too swiftly after which crash. Prices are presently on the low quit of the increasing channel. Anticipate silver prices to upward push considerably from here or you can use commodity tips for the same.

Silver trading tips


The middle line of the increasing channel reaches around $50 by way of the cease of 2017. The high end of the channel is ready three times riser. This ensures not anything but it shows, based on the last 17 years of rate history, that a paper silver fee of $50 must not be unexpected. Of path it is going to be a surprise consistent with reputable pronouncements from “specialists” on Wall Street who agree that each one savings ought to be invested (trapped) in their digital debts. To know the current silver prices you can also use commodity trading tips and can get benefit from them.


Cycles are slippery but bear in mind the following chart which indicates that silver reached lows in 1994-1995, 2001, 2008 and 2017, approximately each seven years. The vertical lines on the chart under are spaced every 84 months. Be aware that silver bottomed in December 2015 and the subsequent backside is not due till approximately 2022-23. Silver prices can also be predicted with the help of commodity recommendations.

Silver trading tips


Silver is a thrilling commodity as it combines factors of precious and base metals. With silver buying and selling at just 1% to 2% of the rate of gold, it is hard to take silver as a real treasured metal, but its historical significance still makes silver a key part of the treasured-metals group in most buyers’ eyes. At the identical time, although, silver has extra uses within the industrial sector than most other precious metals and its price therefore is greater linked to the business cycle globally than you may see for gold.

The dare with investing in silver is figuring out approaches to develop your investment. If you just purchase a hunk of a metal, then your hope for gains is only that the winning price within the silver marketplace will rise. That would appear, mainly in case you assume the global economic system to get stronger in the near destiny. However it’s also quite feasible to suffer huge losses if demand and supply elements flow against you. So it’s better to stay updated with market trends either using silver trading tips or analyzing market properly.


Politicians and bankers will sell failed policies during devaluing fiat currencies so it can push silver expenses higher. Assuming $30 in 2017 and $50 if one or extra implosions occur. Physical fees can be some distance higher than paper costs. So be aware with the market trends and use silver trading tips.

Prediction for crude oil in 2017 by commodity advisor

The Malaysia’s oil industry, which started out over a century ago, has flourished through the years to emerge as among the region’s most dynamic owners of oil & gas reserves, and a few of the world’s biggest producers of liquefied natural gasoline (LNG). Here we as a commodity advisor have come up with some predictions for crude oil prices in this year in Malaysia.

Commodity advisor’s prediction for crude oil:

Our analysts foresee a confined lowering bias for oil and gas shares, whose stock prices have seen a sturdy rally recently following the upward push in crude oil rates.

The deal to cut crude oil production by way of OPEC and Non-OPEC individuals boosted market sentiment with the easing of worries over the supply glut within the oil commodity market. Here are some estimation made by commodity advisor:

1.Oil price review:

Déjà vu 2016, Brent crude oil rates in 2016 had been unstable, buying and selling among the low of USD27.88pb in January to a high of USD55pb in December.

Shifting forward, we are expecting rates to remain volatile, averaging better at approximately USD50pb in 2017. No matter accords were reached to limit the supply of crude oil from OPEC member international locations, the real manufacturing cut stays to be seen – both Iran and Iraq were producing at record excessive at over 90% of their production ability. Similarly, the recently agreed manufacturing ceiling is handiest throughout six months and no company figures have been set, so commodity signals could be beneficial for trading crude oil and knowing exact price.

In 2017 however, the outlook remains rosier as CAPEX is anticipated to select up pace by means of a humble +2.8%. Locally, CAPEX from PETRONAS had been waning, just like trend. In 2016, PETRONAS’ CAPEX is expected to be at about RM45-50b, an extensive decline as compared with that of 2015 and 2014 at RM64.7b and RM71b respectively. In FY17, CAPEX via PETRONAS is expected to hover at tiers seen in 2016 as the majority of CAPEX could be dedicated towards speed in Pengerang, Johor. It’s better to opt commodity trading recommendations for getting proper information.

2. Target niche service providers:

All isn’t doom and gloom inside the oil and gas region as there are still opportunities exist, especially for asset mild and niche service providers or commodity advisors. We are bullish on such groups – Deleum Berhad and gasoline Malaysia Berhad. If you want to trade then it’s better to use commodity tips for knowing the best time and price.

3. Oil industry still offers attractive trading opportunities:

In line with the volatile moves inside the worldwide crude oil market, we are bad on asset-heavy groups with heavy reliance on upstream exploration and production motions but we remain highly qualitative with downstream related agencies. However, we advise investors to select stocks inside area of interest segments of the oil value chain with the use of crude oil trading signals.

How crude oil prices are affecting stock market? 

In starting of 2017, Brent crude has gained 0.37% or 21cents to US $57.10 a barrel.  Malaysia’s Petroleum National Bhd, a state-owned major oil industry has made a spontaneous adjustment to the production of its crude oil by up to 20,000 barrel per day.

Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Holdings Bhd (MHB) noticed the biggest rally among oil and gas shares rising 12.6% accompanied via Dayang organisation Holdings Bhd 11.2%, Petra strength Bhd 9.7%, Sapura Kencana Petroleum Bhd 8% and Alam Maritime sources Bhd 7.5%

Recovery in Crude oil will be advantageous for pure play exploration and manufacturing organizations consisting of Hibiscus Petroleum Bhd and integrated groups with oil production profile like SKPetro. But before investing in crude oil for better earnings it’s very important to prepare a crude oil trading strategy.

Bottom line:

In this, commodity advisors prediction of crude oil price there is various terms to be kept in mind and should have knowledge about for better results. This prediction by our analysts is based on deep studies and it could be beneficial for traders to earn more money this year.

Malaysia Airlines Bhd projects oil prices will increase – Crude Oil Trading Tips

KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia Airlines Bhd ventures oil costs will increment to about US$70 a barrel toward the finish of this current year and has forceful fuel supporting set up as the cash losing national transporter looks to come back to gainful operations. – Crude Oil Trading Tips

Right now (Crude Oil Trading Tips)

we are supported around 65% of the present year at about a tad bit north of US$60,” CEO Peter Bellew said in a Bloomberg TV meet with Haidi Lun.

“We are forcefully supporting 12 months ahead on a quarter-to-quarter premise and adopting a genuinely judicious strategy to it.” – Crude Oil Trading Tips

Malaysia Airlines is anticipating an arrival to what Bellew calls

“more steady productivity” in 2018 after a normal misfortune this year as it fills a bigger part of seats in the midst of interest from business sectors driving with China.

The ringgit’s devaluation against the US dollar since Donald Trump won the US presidential race in November is a major sympathy toward Malaysia Airlines, the CEO said.

The ringgit (which has debilitated over 5% since the US race)

May reinforce throughout the following six to nine months, supporting the transporter’s profit, Bellew said.

Unrefined petroleum fates were exchanging at US$52.66 a barrel starting at 12:35pm in Singapore yesterday

Chinese travelers have since come back to Malaysia Airlines, making the nation its most grounded market now, Bellew said.

The bearer still needs more wide body planes to convey the convergence of vacationers from China to Malaysia and is anticipating to fly upwards of five million Chinese explorers in three to four years, he said.

“My issue with Chinese is I don’t have enough air ship at this moment to work flights there,” Bellew said.

“We are seeing no issues with our image or notoriety among Chinese nationals.”

There are a few deals in the air ship advertise now and Malaysia Airlines may add six to seven planes in 2018, Bellew said.

It’s in converses with Boeing Co on the 787 flying machine while consulting with Airbus SE on the A330 neo, he said.

Global crude oil prices are expected – crude oil trading

KUALA LUMPUR: Speaking to columnists at a preparation on OCBC Bank’s 2017 Economic Outlook, Wiranto said unrefined petroleum costs had captured its free-fall, and was presently moving towards continuous rebalancing taking after the generation cuts by oil majors. (crude oil trading)

Other ware costs were additionally anticipated that would move higher pair with the oil value recuperation, he said.(crude oil trading)

Unrefined petroleum on the worldwide benchmark Brent was cited at around US$55.80 per barrel, up around 0.2%, yesterday evening.

Before the assention by Opec and non-Opec to cut creation at end-November 2016, oil costs had been drifting at under US$50 per barrel.

As per Wiranto, the bounce back in unrefined petroleum costs was required to bolster the ringgit’s esteem, which he said was right now underestimated on the long haul genuine viable conversion scale premise.

“Since oil value droop of earlier years was one component influencing the ringgit’s swapping scale, it is consistent to anticipate that a similar example will hang on the other side now that oil cost is recouping,” he said.

Wiranto said Malaysia’s financial basics ought to bolster the reinforcing of the ringgit, in spite of the fact that market opinion could bring about changes of the estimation of the cash in the short to medium term.

“On a very basic level, the ringgit ought to be a ton more grounded than where it is presently,” Wiranto stated, including that the strength of the yuan would offer support to local monetary standards, including ringgit.

Wiranto said he would expect provincial national banks, including Bank Negara, to concentrate on modifying their remote trade (forex) hold cradle to counter market and money volatilities.

“Toward the day’s end, forex stores are shots to be utilized amid extreme circumstances, and so as to guarantee that you have a decent position in an unstable market, you would need to have however many projectiles as could be allowed,” he clarified.

As far as arrangement activity, Wiranto said he didn’t anticipate that Bank Negara will cut loan fees this year.

“Bank Negara is probably going to keep up the overnight approach rate unaltered at 3% this year as it has taken a more positive tone as far as the nation’s development and expansion standpoint for 2017… in the event that development is farly vigorous, why squander a shot,” he said.(crude oil trading)

OCBC Bank had anticipated Malaysia’s financial development to stay stable at 4.2% this year, bolstered by fare recuperation and vigorous residential utilization.

Wiranto said the nation’s fare development would likely bounce back to around 3% to 3% in 2017, contrasted and the assessed 0.5% in 2016, by virtue of higher ware costs and a get in electrical and electronic (E&E) deals.(crude oil trading)

Oil slumped by roughly 4 percent on Tuesday

Oil dropped by around 4 percent on Tuesday as OPEC’s driving oil exporters attempted to concur on an arrangement to slice creation to diminish worldwide oversupply and help costs, with Iran and Iraq at loggerheads with Saudi Arabia a day in front of the meeting.Brent prospects fell $1.86, or 3.9 percent, to settle at $46.38 a barrel, while U.S. unrefined lost $1.85, or 3.9 percent, to $45.23. That was the greatest day by day rate decay for Brent since September.

Those decreases put both worldwide benchmarks on track to fall for a moment month in succession, with U.S. rough down around 3 percent and Brent down very nearly 4 percent.Most experts trust the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will cobble together an arrangement to cut some creation at its meeting on Wednesday in Vienna, which begins at 1000 GMT (5 a.m. ET).

Yet, Iran and Iraq, OPEC’s second-and third-biggest makers, have opposed weight from the gathering’s accepted pioneer Saudi Arabia to diminish their oil yield, making an assention troublesome. particular Saudi Arabia, which might be troublesome politically,” Morgan Stanley investigators said in a report, noticing the bank was still one-sided towards OPEC achieving an arrangement.

Archives arranged for the meeting proposed OPEC cut generation by 1.2 million barrels for each day from October levels, a source acquainted with the discussions said, somewhat more than the 1 million bpd the gathering talked about at a meeting in September. OPEC delivered around 33.82 million bpd in October.

Our Recommendation for KLSE INTRADAY investors. 



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