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Crude Oil Technical and Fundamental Overview

Crude Oil costs snap five-day win streak as Syria stresses ease. Programming interface stock stream information beside control value slant advancement. Gold costs may break a gridlock on approaching Fed editorial

Crude Oil costs turned strongly lower, snapping a five-day winning streak. The move appears to have reflected facilitating worries about the acceleration in Syria after US President Trump flagged an end of the week rocket assault intended to rebuff the administration for utilizing synthetic weapons was a unique case. Trump additionally moved in an opposite direction from sanctions went for punishing Russia for its help of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

In the meantime, gold costs stamped time as ebbing geopolitical hazard converted into firming hazard craving, boosting Fed rate climb wagers while at the same time undermining support for the US Dollar. The last impact appeared to reflect ebbing sanctuary request and also the re-development of the view that widening worldwide recuperation will see top national banks limit the US national bank’s lead down the way to boost withdrawal. This put gold’s parts as hostile to fiat and benchmark non-enthusiasm bearing resource in strife, converting into a stop.

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Crude-Oil-Prices-Snap-5-Day-Win-Streak-Eye-Inventory-Data_body_Picture_1 17-04-2018

Crude Oil costs pulled back from protection bunch in the 66.63-67.49 territory (January 25 high, rising channel top, 38.2% Fibonacci development). From here, a move back underneath the 23.6% level at 63.90 opens the entryway for a trial of channel floor bolster at 62.50. On the other hand, turn over 67.49 sees the following upside hindrance at 70.38, the half Fib. Source

Forecast for NZD: NZ Dollar maybe Testing Lower after a Supportive Comment from RBNZ’s Orr

Forex Trading Alerts: Forecast for NZD

NZ Dollar down in spite of steady remarks from RBNZ’s Orr

Japanese Yen up as outrages undermine PM Abe’s monetary strategy

US Dollar may confront weight if retail deals insights frustrate

The New Zealand Dollar narrowly failed to meet expectations in generally calm Asia Pacific exchange. The sell-off seemed to reverberate an upward hole in US Treasury security yields at the week by week exchanging open as business sectors disregarded end of the week geopolitical nerves. Firming hazard hunger compares to a worldview wherein the Fed has scope for additional rate climbs, driving the Kiwi off its roost as the most elevated yielding of the G10 FX majors.

Apparently steady remarks from recently introduced RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr did not offer a respite. He disclosed to NewstalkZB radio throughout the end of the week that the national bank’s imminent turn to a double command strategy system won’t occupy its consideration far from value solidness. Orr included that the economy is “close full business”, which may have been deciphered as boosting close term fixing possibilities.

OPEC Report Lift Up Gold and Crude Oil Price in Commodity Market

Commodity Trading News Updates:
Raw petroleum and gold costs ascended in the midst of expanded Syria struggle risk on Wednesday

Consideration now swings to the US reaction and the approaching month to month OPEC oil report

Both gold and raw petroleum outlines give cautioning suggestions that costs may soon head lower

Unrefined petroleum costs climbed in excess of two percent on Wednesday, moving to the most astounding point since December 2014. The risk of a contention between the US and Syria helped push costs higher notwithstanding EIA oil inventories expanding by the most since early March. In the meantime, gold costs additionally aroused. Notwithstanding, a portion of the additions in the counter fiat yellow metal were lost when the US Dollar revived towards the finish of the day.

We likewise had the second day of the International Energy Forum in New Delhi. There, OPEC’s Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo talked and said that the gathering is sure that they “will get inventories to the 5-year normal in 2018.” He included that the cartel sees consistency in March higher than in February.

Looking forward, on Thursday OPEC will issue their month to month oil advertise report. Already, the gathering needed to decrease supply by more than foreseen on account of an excess in the non-OPEC generation. Since Barkindo likewise specified that worldwide inventories are around 42 million bbl over the 5-year normal yesterday, maybe extra alterations could be probable. More slices of the supply may support oil costs.

Moreover, watch out for how the US reacts to the Syria circumstance. President Donald Trump addressed Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and they are as yet measuring choices for military activity. Both unrefined petroleum and gold costs could be left helpless against how the circumstance unfurls. In the event, that notion decays again and the US Dollar falls, gold costs may profit.

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

gold technical chart analysis 12-04-2018

Gold costs are attempting to gain ground to the upside, however, the ware has neglected to close over the protection line of a slipping channel. Wednesday’s high additionally verged on testing the January high of 1,366.13. Negative RSI difference likewise implies that costs may soon fall. From here, close term bolster is at 1,340.94 which has gone about as protection in the past too. A push underneath that uncovered 1,323.65 which was a territory gold attempted to fall through in late March/early April.

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Crude-Oil-Prices-chart 12-04-2018

Not at all like gold, raw petroleum costs shut above key protection. That being the January 25th high of 66.60. Be that as it may, similar to gold, negative RSI dissimilarity is likewise present indicating energy to the upside is ebbing. Also, oil has not cleared the 38.2% Fibonacci augmentation at 67.33. From here the following target would be the half midpoint at 70.23. Then again, close term support could be the January 25th high took after by the 23.6% level at 63.74. Source

The Outlook for EUR/USD Forex Trading Pair

So far this year unpredictability in the FX-range has been dreary generally regardless of an upstart in value showcase instability. Sooner or later this will change, yet to the point that it does we should keep on taking what the market offers.

Blurring key levels after force slows down will remain the essential amusement. When energy accumulates pace, at that point we can switch riggings and search for breakout-style exchanges, bigger value goals, and different attributes identified with a higher-vol administration.

EUR/USD, IN THE SPOTLIGHT

EUR/USD diverted higher on Friday from help, displaying an alluring open door for years. In any case, now that we are back in the thick of the range since January, new passages don’t offer great hazard/remunerate. Protection stays at the 2008 pattern line in the mid-12400s. This could be another region to look for a blur.

EUR/USD DAILY CHART (RANGE-BOUND)

Trading-Outlook-for-EURUSD- 11-04-2018
Trading-Outlook-for-EURUSD- 11-04-2018

Gold and Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Forecast

Prices of Gold came into tension after US dollar rose amidst pickup sentiment. Meanwhile, crude oil prices rose despite greenback’s strength. The main catalyst for oil’s climb was when Saudi Arabia unexpectedly raised the price of its Arab Light crude in Asia. Soon though, Thursday’s performance quickly reversed course.

Just as Friday’s session got started, US President Donald Trump ordered the consideration of $100 billion of additional tariffs on Chinese products. Sentiment immediately soured and oil prices fell while gold rose. Looking ahead, the anti-fiat yellow metal and oil also face March’s US jobs report.

gold forecast 06-04-2018

The country is expected to add fewer workers and the unemployment rate is expected to fall to 4.0%. Meanwhile, average hourly earnings are expected to rise. Data outside the country has been improving relative to economists’ expectations as of late. If an upside surprise boosts the greenback, gold and oil could fall.

Coming to crude oil, the number of active rigs has been steadily increasing from around 400 since mid-2016 to last week’s reported number of 993. Further additions could end up hurting oil prices as more extractions can increase the supply of crude.

crude oil forecast 06-04-2018

 If Technical Analysis is done then, the gold price is rising at a decreasing rate in an attempt to reach the lower line of the descending channel. However, near-term support has formed around 1,323.65 and pushing through that could be a challenge. From here, near-term resistance is around 1,340.94. If gold keeps falling and pushes lower, it will face the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1,316.64.

In case of crude oil, its prices are rising from August 2017. However, in an attempt to test it, a new area of support seems to have formed around 62.85. From here, immediate resistance is the 23.6% Fibonacci extension at 63.74 followed by the January 25th high at 66.60. On the other hand, if prices fall through support the next target will be the series of lows seen in the first half of March around 60.05.

Commodities Trading In Malaysia: Bullish Resolutions Eyed Upon!

While there was a lot of hustle-bustle in the stock market, the FX market was haunting quiet. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 closed nearly 85 handles above its low for the day, establishing a daily bullish outside engulfing bar in the process. Meanwhile, the DXY Index barely registered a move at all, posting an inside day relative to Tuesday’s high-low range.

For the US Dollar, there may be a genuine case that the driver of equity market volatility – tension over trade tariffs with China – has proven to be an offsetting factor to the greenback’s current stature as a safe haven currency.

Many factors have proven to be a road to nowhere for the US Dollar: while the imposition of tariffs and a trade war would be bad for the US Dollar, equity market’s constant weakness has raised the need of safety of world’s reserve currency. And vice-versa: when trade tensions ease, which is good for the US Dollar, they are allowing equity markets to rebound, which is negative for the buck.

gold trading chart 05-04-2018

While we wait for FX markets – and similarly, bond markets – to partake in the large swings seen by stocks, a different safe haven has proven quite active amidst the headlines: Gold.

Gold remains unified, symmetrical triangle in January start, then many price movements are observed; mirroring moves as the S&P 500 roared back on Wednesday, Gold slid sharply from its daily highs back to its opening price level – more than a 1% drop intraday.

Fundamentally, trade tensions have fanged higher across the globe thanks to the United States, be it with China, South Korea, Canada, and Mexico re NAFTA, or the European Union. Likewise, concerns about the trajectory of the deficit and the debt may have receded into the background thanks to trade war fears, but they won’t be going away anytime soon given the fiscal stance of the Trump administration.

gold trading alerts 05-april-2018

Technically, Gold’s symmetrical consolidation has occurred after breaking the sustained descending trend line from 2011, 2012, and 2016 swing highs. It’s fairly textbook to see a price consolidation after a bottom has been established, which developed in 2017.

In recent weeks, Gold established a series of higher lows on March 1, 20, and 28. With daily statistics and MACD trending higher above their respective median and signal lines, it appears the symmetrical triangle is favoring an upside break. In the near-term, while the equity market rebound on Wednesday may have delayed Gold’s advance, the backdrop for bullion remains favorably.

Dollar seems to be weak but despite this; Prices of gold show a downfall!

Gold prices slipped on Tuesday, giving up its earlier progress despite a weaker dollar amid the intensifying trade dispute between China and the U.S.

Gold futures for April delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange slipped $4.40, or 0.33%, to $1,342.50 a troy ounce by 12:00 AM ET (04:00 GMT). The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies last stood at 89.66, down 0.03%, extending its losses from an overnight high at 89.78.

Dollar-denominated assets such as gold are susceptible to moves in the dollar – a fall in the dollar makes gold low-priced for holders of foreign currency and thus boost the demand for the precious metal. Gold prices pushed higher earlier in the day as risk animosity accelerated following a selloff in U.S. technology shares and amplified concerns of a full-blown trade war after China slapped new tariffs on U.S. goods on Sunday.

Investors seek out gold as a store of value during times of political or economic uncertainty. In other precious metal trade, silver futures fell 0.8% to $16.540 a troy ounce, and platinum futures slipped 0.21% to $936.60 an ounce. Meanwhile, Asian equities also trade lower on Tuesday, with the Nikkei 225 down 0.7% and the Shanghai Composite and Shenzhen Component both saw the major downfall of more than 1%.

PCE Report may affect Gold and Crude Oil Price

Gold costs fall as 4Q US GDP correction drives Dollar higher. EIA information mixes USD-connected weight on unrefined petroleum costs. PCE report may help acknowledge bearish specialized situating (Commodity Trading Signals)

Gold costs fell as the US Dollar pushed higher for a moment day, undermining interest for against fiat options. The greenback ascended with front-end Treasury security yields while the rate climb direction estimated into Fed Fund’s fates steepened as amended final quarter US GDP data was moved up to put the annualized financial development rate at 2.9 percent. That bested the earlier gauge of 2.5 percent and the littler acclimation to 2.7 percent expected by business analysts.

The benchmark money’s climb likewise weighed on rough oil prices, which endured true weight since costs are named in USD terms on worldwide markets. That was exacerbated by EIA stock stream information indicating reserves included 1.6 million barrels a week ago, topping estimates requiring a small 146.4k inflow. All things considered, the increase missed the mark regarding the blockbuster inflow of 5.32 million barrels anticipated by API yesterday.

Looking forward, the Fed’s favored PCE swelling measure is in the center. The center value development rate is relied upon to ascend to 1.6 percent on-year, the most noteworthy in 11 months. Comprehensively, US information results have circumspectly enhanced relative standard gauges over the previous month. An upside amazes resounding this example may stir wagers on a quickened Fed fixing way, offering the US Dollar another upward push to the detriment of gold and unrefined petroleum alike.

Gold Technical Analysis

Gold-and-Crude-Oil-Prices-at-Risk-if-US-PCE-Drives-Dollar-Higher_body_Picture_4 29-03-2018
Gold-and-Crude-Oil-Prices-at-Risk-if-US-PCE-Drives-Dollar-Higher_body_Picture_4 29-03-2018

Gold costs fell subsequent to shaping a Bearish Engulfing candle design, obviously. From here, a day by day close underneath the half Fibonacci extension at 1325.29 uncovered the 61.8% level at 1317.84. Then again, a move back over the 38.2% Fib at 1332.73 prepares for a retest of the 23.6% extension at 1341.94.

Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Gold-and-Crude-Oil-Prices-at-Risk-if-US-PCE-Drives-Dollar-Higher_body_Picture_1 29-03-2018
Gold-and-Crude-Oil-Prices-at-Risk-if-US-PCE-Drives-Dollar-Higher_body_Picture_1 29-03-2018

The development of a bearish Evening Star candle design keeps on notice that unrefined petroleum costs have created a twofold best. Close term bolster is set apart by the 23.6%Fibonacci development at 63.90, with every day close underneath that focusing on a rising channel floor at 61.14. On the other hand, push above protection in the 66.63-67.49 region (January 25 high, 38.2% level) opens the entryway for a trial of the half Fib at 70.38. Source

7 Things to Do In a Volatile Stock Market

Yes, the market is sometimes volatile but the degree of its volatility adjusts over time. Over the short term, stock prices tend not to climb in nice straight lines. A chart of day-to-day stock prices looks like a mountain range with plenty of peaks and valleys, formed by the daily highs and lows.
Volatility refers to the upward and downward movement of price. For the first time in history a month ago, the almost 122-year-old Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) finished lower by in excess of 1,000 points during a single trading session not once, but twice — minus 1,175 points on Feb. 5, and minus 1,033 points on Feb. 8.
Besides, the Dow logged some of its most out of control intraday point swings since origin. All through its history, the Dow has moved more than 1,000 focuses intraday on seven events. Four of its five broadest intraday swings happened over a traverse of only one week in February, including a drop of almost 1,600 focuses at its top on Feb. 5, 2018.

7 Things to Do During a Volatile Stock Market

Malaysia stock tips here are seven things long-term investors should do during a volatile market:
1. Breathe
The main thing you’ll need to do is inhale and not do anything rash, similar to offer the greater part of your stocks. It’s improbable your whole speculation proposition will disentangle in light of the fact that money markets have been unstable, regardless of what number of focuses the Dow or expansive based S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) lose amid a solitary session.

2. Realize this is normal
Understand that stock market corrections with a step back are the next step — defined as a decline of 10% or more from a recent high — are perfectly normal. The S&P 500 has undergone 36 remedies since 1950, working out to about one every two years. Be that as it may, staying with that greater picture see, the S&P 500 has likewise spent around threefold the number of days (more than 18,000) arousing or in positively trending market mode in respect to the roughly 6,600 it’s spent in adjustment or bear showcase region since 1950. Despite how quick or unstable the decreases have been, positively trending market arouses have inevitably eradicated each of the 35 past revisions (not including the present one).

3. Put the volatility into context
Third, you have to put the instability and decreases you’ve been seeing into the setting. At the end of the day, quit concentrating such a great amount on nominal point swings, in spite of the awe that 1,175-point decay may bring, and center around the rates that underlie them. In all actuality, not a solitary decrease in the Dow has topped 4.6%during the corrections, which is no place close to the 20 most terrible single-day rate exhibitions ever for the notable list. Truth be told, we’d need to go back just about 10 years to locate the last time the Dow had a genuinely bad day (Dec. 1, 2008).

Malaysia stocks trading tips

4. Reassess your investment theses
Fourth is the, By explicitly writing down an investing thesis – specific goals for each investment in a portfolio – anyone can become better prepared to make decisions, re-allocate funds and analyze their performance over time. Of course, when the stock market is going up in an orderly fashion, this isn’t often a priority. With the market considerably more volatile than it was in 2017, now is the ideal time to guarantee that your speculation proposals still remain constant. In the event that they don’t for a stock or stocks, at that point it could be an ideal opportunity to think about offering.

5. Add dividend stocks to your portfolio (High Dividend Stocks Malaysia)
In the stock market, nothing is successful; dividend stocks have historically run circles around non-dividend-paying stocks because dividend stocks often have a time-tested business model. A company wouldn’t pay a dividend, Profits can likewise help fence against the inescapable stock market, and they can be reinvested in much more profit paying stock, which can quicken riches creation.

high dividend stocks Malaysia

6. Consider taking new positions or adding to existing holdings
So, here we are discussing, consider taking new positions or adding to existing positions anytime the stock market dips considerably. The stock market has erased all previous 35 corrections, within the weeks or months. But you won’t make money with every stock you invest in, simply we know that high-quality businesses increase wherein value over time should allow you to do something to do well if you maintain a long-term view.

7. Wean yourself off of margin
At last, happen to be using margin to invest beyond simply short-selling equities, consider this volatility as a reminder to stop that! While utilizing margin can result in bigger-than-expected gains, it can also be a path to losses when corrections do unavoidably strike. It’s a bet not worth taking.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Aussie Dollar in processing mode subsequent to sinking to a three-week low

Close term slant inclination bearish yet entering short appears to be untimely

Strategic long position ugly on hazard/remunerate contemplations

The Australian Dollar is processing misfortunes subsequent to hitting a three-week low against its US partner yet the general pattern keeps on favoring shortcoming. Enhancing hazard hunger has helped capture offering weight thumping the supposition connected money following a week ago’s phlebotomy.

Protection is set apart by the March 22 swing high at 0.7785, with a day by day close over that uncovering a falling channel top at 0.7894. Prompt help is in the 0.7663-76 territory (channel floor, 23.6% Fibonacci expansion).A push underneath that uncovered a rising pattern line controlling the more extended term progress from January 2016.That right now sits at 0.7608.

AUDUSD-Technical-Analysis-27-03-2018

A noteworthy exchange setup appears to be missing at this stage. Entering short appears to be untimely truant obvious proof proposing the down move is continuing while a strategic long exchange is ugly from a hazard/remunerate point of view given costs’ closeness to protection. On adjust, standing aside has all the earmarks of being generally sensible. Source


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