The yen is one of the world’s most traded currencies, especially due to its low interest since yen is used to carry trades. Recently, Bank of Japan has expanded their purchase of yen hoping to overturn the deflation tide to inflation. Doubling the money is devaluing the yen boosting the exports and also increasing the prices of imports at the same instance for commodities. A carry trade is a strategy in which a currency with a low-interest rate is sold to buy a currency with a high-interest rate.
JPY Technical Analysis: Retail trader data shows 59.2% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.45 to 1. The percentage of traders net-long is highest when USD-JPY traded near 112.595. The number of traders net-long is 29.8% higher than yesterday and 20.9% higher than the last week while the number of traders net-short is 1.2% higher than yesterday and 23.5% higher than last week. Japanese Yen hit a two year low against the Taiwan dollar opening at 0.2655.
This week will continue to see trading levels curtailed by the fading holiday season and it may take until next before we see where actually the market lies. However, there’s one sign we can look out for now which is not promising for the dollar. For dollar bulls, there is a penalty occurring as a continuous pattern indicating the market seen before it formed ought to continue once it plays out. From various sources, it was clearly shown that there was a gradual downfall for USD-JPY in the late October and early November which led to the huge loss in the market.
If the pennant remains valid for the whole session before it plays out then the market will be experiencing a downfall every moment. It would be better if the market waits and have a look at next week’s scenario or action to judge the market mood.
Forex Trading Signals: Meanwhile, Euro has been the most bullish against the Japanese currency because it has challenged and then quite convincingly broken the upside because it would appear bad as it is already getting bullied. With all the current optimism glowing frequently over the eurozone’s economy it would seem to be fundamental for this type of up move. However, it has been very sharp and alert as euro is leading towards overbought territory.
There’s little reason that the range break will be rendered invalid very soon, only a little time is needed to tell whether it is really emphatic as the current daily chart suggests.